This is my trading file to organise and jot down my take on the market .I do Technical Analysis. This blog is to keep track of my baby steps so that I can look back at my journey .Looking back tells me how far I have come from days when I knew nothing and can go further .It gives me motivation to keep going on even when I am tired. One has to back up trading with their own studies. The charts I post here are 99% inspired from Ilango sir.



Tuesday 25 September 2012

26/9/2012

Day chart has a Doji today , Whole day it was range bound , I did short the market today as prices closed below Hour Low ema , at 12 noon . But then they decided to take support at 5655-5650 zone and bounced . SL was channel top which was first around 5695 and which slowly moved down , Finally there was Dip to 5666 during the last hour and I closed my position there with a loss of 7 points , Phew !!

Did not carry any positions as a corrective is going on ..and moreover I am not available tommorow .

What do the charts say to Me , here it is ...
We  are in corrective move presently ,
Now Q is whether we are correcting the move from

5216 to 5720 ( 5 waves over at 5720) or move from 5333 to 5720 ( assuming only 3 waves done at 5720 and one more top above 5720 as 5th wave )  ...lets look at the Fib retracements ...

If it is correction for 5216 to 5720 then this present correction should me more than what 2 and 4 have done


So more than 113 comes to below 5607 and the path can take form of a Flat , zz or a triangle.
Fib ret can be seen in the table below .


 From   To   Fall/ Rise  0.236%        0.38                 0.50 0.618% 0.736% 0.80%
5537 5720      (183)    5,677    5,650             5,629    5,607      5,585      5,574
5333 5720      (387)    5,629    5,573             5,527    5,481      5,435      5,410
              -             -             -                     -             -             -             -  
5216 5720      (504)    5,601    5,528             5,468    5,408      5,349      5,317


 And as per option 2 if only 3 waves are done at 5720 then we are correcting the 3rd wave which started form 5333.Again since this is correcting the whole move from 5333 , then the correction should be more than subwave ii and iv which again comes to below 5607.


 
Price wise we have closed above 5 Dema at 5637 and Also above 5 D hema at 5666 , so day trend is up with momentum .
Hour trend is facing correction  , but have closed above Hlema at 5667 . So hour trend down without momentum .
 Price wise no weakness .
BUT
-ve divergence still there in hour charts , with macd ( 34 5 5) in sell mode . This sell will negate if this macd shows a +ve crossover.
5 sma and 20 sma are poised interestingly ,  it may give a Fast rise / Fast fall .


Have a nice day !
 

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